Market Risk
This document synthesis is waiting to be generated.
Market Risk
Table of Contents
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk
Financial Instrument Market Risk
We and certain of our subsidiaries hold and issue derivative contracts and financial instruments that expose our cash flows or earnings to changes in commodity prices, foreign currency exchange rates or interest rates. We may use financial and commodity-based derivative contracts to manage the risks produced by changes in the prices of natural gas, crude oil and related products; fluctuations in interest rates and foreign currency exchange rates; or to capture market opportunities.
Our use of derivative instruments is governed by an "Authority Limitations" document approved by our Board of Directors that prohibits the use of highly leveraged derivatives or derivative instruments without sufficient liquidity. The Authority Limitations document also establishes the Value at Risk (VaR) limits for the company, and compliance with these limits is monitored daily. The Commercial organization manages our commercial marketing, optimizes our commodity flows and positions, and monitors risks. The Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, who reports to the Chief Executive Officer, monitors commodity price risk and risks resulting from foreign currency exchange rates and interest rates.
Commodity Price Risk
Our Commercial organization uses futures, forwards, swaps and options in various markets to accomplish the following objectives:
•Consistent with our policy to generally remain exposed to market prices, we use swap contracts to convert fixed-price sales contracts, which are often requested by natural gas consumers, to floating market prices.
•Enable us to use market knowledge to capture opportunities such as moving physical commodities to more profitable locations and storing commodities to capture seasonal or time premiums. We may use derivatives to optimize these activities.
We use a VaR model to estimate the loss in fair value that could potentially result on a single day from the effect of adverse changes in market conditions on the derivative financial instruments and derivative commodity contracts we hold or issue, including commodity purchases and sales contracts recorded on the balance sheet at December 31, 2024. Using Monte Carlo simulation, a 95 percent confidence level and a one-day holding period, the VaR for those instruments issued or held for trading purposes or held for purposes other than trading at December 31, 2024 and 2023, was immaterial to our consolidated cash flows and net income.
67
ConocoPhillips 2024 10-K
Table of Contents
Interest Rate Risk
The following table provides information about our debt instruments that are sensitive to changes in U.S. interest rates. The table presents principal cash flows and related weighted-average interest rates by expected maturity dates. Weighted-average variable rates are based on effective rates at the reporting date. The carrying amount of our floating-rate debt approximates its fair value. A hypothetical 10 percent change in prevailing interest rates would not have a material impact on interest expense associated with our floating-rate debt. The fair value of the fixed-rate debt is measured using prices available from a pricing service that is corroborated by market data. Changes to prevailing interest rates would not impact our cash flows associated with fixed-rate debt, unless we elect to repurchase or retire such debt prior to maturity.
Millions of Dollars Except as Indicated
Debt
Expected Maturity DateFixedRateMaturityAverageInterestRateFloatingRateMaturityAverageInterestRate
Year-End 2024
2025$735 3.87 %$- - %
2026704 3.40 - -
2027778 4.82 - -
2028664 3.78 - -
2029997 6.78 - -
Remaining years19,924 5.23 283 2.97 %
Total$23,802 $283
Fair value$22,714 $283
Year-End 2023
2024$759 2.70 %$- - %
2025735 3.87 - -
2026104 6.41 - -
2027438 5.79 - -
2028265 4.50 - -
Remaining years15,829 5.45 283 4.06 %
Total$18,130 $283
Fair value$18,338 $283
ConocoPhillips 2024 10-K
68
Foreign Currency Exchange Risk
We have foreign currency exchange rate risk resulting from international operations. We do not comprehensively hedge the exposure to currency exchange rate changes although we may choose to selectively hedge certain foreign currency exchange rate exposures, such as firm commitments for capital projects or local currency tax payments, dividends and cash returns from net investments in foreign affiliates to be remitted within the coming year and acquisitions.
At December 31, 2024 and 2023, we had outstanding foreign currency exchange forward contracts hedging cross-border commercial activity and for purposes of mitigating our cash-related exposures. Although these forwards hedge exposures to fluctuations in exchange rates, we elected not to utilize hedge accounting. As a result, the change in the fair value of these foreign currency exchange derivatives is recorded directly in earnings. Since the gain or loss on the exchange contracts is offset by the gain or loss from remeasuring cash related balances, and since our aggregate position in the forwards was not material, there would be no material impact to our income from an adverse hypothetical 10 percent change in the December 2024 or December 2023 exchange rates.
The gross notional and fair value of these positions at December 31, 2024 and 2023, were as follows:
Foreign Currency Exchange DerivativesIn Millions
NotionalFair Value*
2024202320242023
Buy Canadian dollar, sell U.S. dollarCAD10 5 - -
Sell British pound, buy EuroGBP13 52 - (2)
Buy British pound, sell EuroGBP17 58 - -
*Denominated in USD.
69
ConocoPhillips 2024 10-K