APA Corp · FY 2025 Q3 

Market Risk

APA
  APA Corp · FY 2025 Q3 

Market Risk

ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK

The primary objective of the following information is to provide forward-looking quantitative and qualitative information about the Company's exposure to market risk. The term market risk relates to the risk of loss arising from adverse changes in oil, natural gas, and NGL prices, interest rates, or foreign currency and adverse governmental actions. The disclosures are not meant to be precise indicators of expected future losses, but rather indicators of reasonably possible losses. The forward-looking information provides indicators of how the Company views and manages its ongoing market risk exposures.

Commodity Price Risk

The Company's revenues, earnings, cash flow, capital investments and, ultimately, future rate of growth are highly dependent on the prices the Company receives for its crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs, which have historically been very volatile because of unpredictable events such as economic growth or retraction, weather, political climate, and global supply and demand. The Company continually monitors its market risk exposure, as oil and gas supply and demand are impacted by uncertainties in the commodity and financial markets associated with ongoing international conflicts, inflation, current and potential tariffs or other trade barriers, global trade policies, actions taken by foreign oil and gas producing nations, including OPEC+, and other current events.

The Company's average crude oil price realizations decreased 14 percent from $78.06 per barrel to $67.43 per barrel during the third quarters of 2024 and 2025, respectively. The Company's average natural gas price realizations increased 57 percent from $1.43 per Mcf to $2.25 per Mcf during the third quarters of 2024 and 2025, respectively. The Company's average NGL price realizations decreased 3 percent from $21.29 per barrel to $20.65 per barrel during the third quarters of 2024 and 2025, respectively. Based on average daily production for the third quarter of 2025, a $1.00 per barrel change in the weighted average realized oil price would have increased or decreased revenues for the quarter by approximately $22 million, a $0.10 per Mcf change in the weighted average realized natural gas price would have increased or decreased revenues for the quarter by approximately $9 million, and a $1.00 per barrel change in the weighted average realized NGL price would have increased or decreased revenues for the quarter by approximately $7 million.

The Company periodically enters into derivative positions on a portion of its projected crude oil and natural gas production through a variety of financial and physical arrangements intended to manage fluctuations in cash flows resulting from changes in commodity prices. Such derivative positions may include the use of futures contracts, swaps, and/or options. The Company does not hold or issue derivative instruments for trading purposes. As of September 30, 2025, the Company had open natural gas derivatives not designated as cash flow hedges in a net liability position with a fair value of $35 million. A 10 percent increase in natural gas prices would decrease the liability by approximately $16 million, while a 10 percent decrease in prices would increase the liability by approximately $16 million. These fair value changes assume volatility based on prevailing market parameters at September 30, 2025. Refer to Note 4-Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activities in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements set forth in Part I, Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for notional volumes and terms with the Company's derivative contracts.

Interest Rate Risk

As of September 30, 2025, the Company had $4.5 billion, net, in outstanding notes and debentures, all of which was fixed-rate debt, with a weighted average interest rate of 5.66 percent. Although near-term changes in interest rates may affect the fair value of fixed-rate debt, such changes do not expose the Company to the risk of earnings or cash flow loss associated with that debt.

The Company is also exposed to interest rate risk related to its interest-bearing cash and cash equivalents balances and amounts outstanding under its term loan facility, commercial paper program, and syndicated credit facilities. As of September 30, 2025, the Company had approximately $475 million in cash and cash equivalents, approximately 97 percent of which was invested in money market funds and short-term investments with major financial institutions. As of September 30, 2025, there were no borrowings outstanding under the Company's term loan facility, commercial paper program, or syndicated revolving credit facilities. Changes in the interest rate applicable to short-term investments, term loan facility, commercial paper program, and credit facility borrowings are expected to have an immaterial impact on earnings and cash flows but could impact interest costs associated with future debt issuances or any future borrowings.

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Foreign Currency Exchange Rate Risk

The Company's cash activities relating to certain international operations is based on the U.S. dollar equivalent of cash flows measured in foreign currencies. The Company's North Sea production is sold under U.S. dollar contracts, while the majority of costs incurred are paid in British pounds. The Company's Egypt production is sold under U.S. dollar contracts, and the majority of costs incurred are denominated in U.S. dollars. Transactions denominated in British pounds are converted to U.S. dollar equivalents based on the average exchange rates during the period. The Company monitors foreign currency exchange rates of countries in which it is conducting business and may, from time to time, implement measures to protect against foreign currency exchange rate risk.

Foreign currency gains and losses also arise when monetary assets and monetary liabilities denominated in foreign currencies are translated at the end of each month. Foreign currency gains and losses are included as either a component of "Other" under "Revenues and Other" or, as is the case when the Company re-measures its foreign tax liabilities, as a component of the Company's provision for income tax expense on the statement of consolidated operations. Foreign currency net gain or loss would not be material from a 10 percent weakening or strengthening, respectively, in the British pound as of September 30, 2025.